30 November 2017 Dynamics of surface temperatures at the Crimean peninsula territory
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Proceedings Volume 10466, 23rd International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics; 104665Z (2017) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2287356
Event: XXIII International Symposium, Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 2017, Irkutsk, Russian Federation
Abstract
The analysis of the surface temperaturesvariability (monthly mean) over the period 1969-2014 by frequency of exceeding the climatic norm (1961-1990) is presented. An increaseof such situations in 3.5 times over entire Crimean peninsula territoryis revealed. “Strong exceeding” (from 2.0σ to 2.5σ) is characterized by an increase in the number of cases from 6% to 15% and “very strong exceeding” (>; 2.5σ) – from 0% to 18%. The value of coefficients in the “very strong exceeding” reaches 5.9σ. The pronounced effect of surface air temperature growing indicates an increase in threats which creates thermal stress on human health. The main categories are vulnerable elderly people, as well as the people do not acclimate to an unfamiliar thermal environment (in this category in most of the representatives of the tourist flow). While maintaining the observed trends, extreme heat periods will be a serious threat to the health of persons that has “epidemical” potential in the European region.
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T. E. Danova, M. P. Nikiforova, "Dynamics of surface temperatures at the Crimean peninsula territory", Proc. SPIE 10466, 23rd International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics: Atmospheric Physics, 104665Z (30 November 2017); doi: 10.1117/12.2287356; https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2287356
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