The "Elton John" problem and parsimonious prediction

Steven C. Gustafson; Gordon R. Little

doi:10.1117/12.304805

25 March 1998 The "Elton John" problem and parsimonious prediction

Steven C. Gustafson, Gordon R. Little

Proceedings Volume 3390, Applications and Science of Computational Intelligence; (1998) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.304805
Event: Aerospace/Defense Sensing and Controls, 1998, Orlando, FL, United States

Abstract

The 'Elton John' problem envisions candles blowing in the wind to motivate reasoning about prediction methods. The 'maximize smoothness but maintain trend' method has desirable parsimony when both data quantity and understanding are limited.

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Steven C. Gustafson and Gordon R. Little "The "Elton John" problem and parsimonious prediction", Proc. SPIE 3390, Applications and Science of Computational Intelligence, (25 March 1998); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.304805

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KEYWORDS

Fluctuations and noise

Data processing

Chemistry

Combustion

Physics

Turbulence

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