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28 August 1984 Quality, Quantity, And Surprise! Trade-Offs In X-Raser ASAT Attrition
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Proceedings Volume 0474, Electro-Culture 1984; (1984)
Event: 1984 Technical Symposium East, 1984, Arlington, United States
In order to characterize the effects of technological superiority, numerical superiority, and pre-emption on space battle outcomes, we have constructed a battle simulation in which "Red" and "Blue" ASATs, each armed with a specified number of x-ray lasers of specified range, move along specified orbits and fire on one another according to a pair of battle management algorithms. The simulated battle proceeds until apparent steady-state force levels are reached. Battle outcomes are characterized by terminal force ratio and by terminal force-exchange ratio as effective weapon range, multiplicity (x-rasers per ASAT), and pre-emptive role are varied parametrically. A major conclusion is that pre-emptive advantage increases with increasing x-raser range and multiplicity (x-rasers per ASAT) and with increasing force size. That is, the "use 'em or lose 'em" dilemma will become more stark as such weapons are refined and proliferated.
© (1984) COPYRIGHT Society of Photo-Optical Instrumentation Engineers (SPIE). Downloading of the abstract is permitted for personal use only.
Michael B. Callaham and Frank M. Scibilia "Quality, Quantity, And Surprise! Trade-Offs In X-Raser ASAT Attrition", Proc. SPIE 0474, Electro-Culture 1984, (28 August 1984);


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