Regional carrying capacity evaluation and simulation based on GIS and cellular automata model

Min Zeng; Jianping Chen; Lijuan Wu; Chen Chen; Youjun Chen; Hongying Shang; Lin Niu; Mi Zhou; Qing Hu; Pengfei Zhu

doi:10.1117/12.712910

28 October 2006 Regional carrying capacity evaluation and simulation based on GIS and cellular automata model

Min Zeng, Jianping Chen, Lijuan Wu, Chen Chen, Youjun Chen, Hongying Shang, Lin Niu, Mi Zhou, Qing Hu, Pengfei Zhu

Proceedings Volume 6420, Geoinformatics 2006: Geospatial Information Science; 64201Q (2006) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.712910
Event: Geoinformatics 2006: GNSS and Integrated Geospatial Applications, 2006, Wuhan, China

Abstract

In this paper, a comprehensive study for the evaluation and simulation of regional carrying capacity has been presented. After constructing the modified operational framework for regional carrying capacity evaluation and the indictor system, the Bohai-Rim region in northern China is taken as an example to implement the theoretical system: (1) Database is constructed and the data preprocesses have been performed based on GIS; (2) the assimilative capacity, supportive capacity and loading have been evaluated by using principal components analysis (PCA) and ecological footprint method; (3) then, the carrying states of 1996~2003 have been evaluated by statistical analysis; (4) future carrying states of 2004~2020 are forecasted by using ANN-based CA model.

Citation Download Citation

Min Zeng, Jianping Chen, Lijuan Wu, Chen Chen, Youjun Chen, Hongying Shang, Lin Niu, Mi Zhou, Qing Hu, and Pengfei Zhu "Regional carrying capacity evaluation and simulation based on GIS and cellular automata model", Proc. SPIE 6420, Geoinformatics 2006: Geospatial Information Science, 64201Q (28 October 2006); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.712910

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