Enhancing emotional-based target prediction

Michael Gosnell; Robert Woodley

doi:10.1117/12.777465

11 April 2008 Enhancing emotional-based target prediction

Michael Gosnell, Robert Woodley

Proceedings Volume 6965, Modeling and Simulation for Military Operations III; 696505 (2008) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.777465
Event: SPIE Defense and Security Symposium, 2008, Orlando, Florida, United States

Abstract

This work extends existing agent-based target movement prediction to include key ideas of behavioral inertia, steady states, and catastrophic change from existing psychological, sociological, and mathematical work. Existing target prediction work inherently assumes a single steady state for target behavior, and attempts to classify behavior based on a single emotional state set. The enhanced, emotional-based target prediction maintains up to three distinct steady states, or typical behaviors, based on a target's operating conditions and observed behaviors. Each steady state has an associated behavioral inertia, similar to the standard deviation of behaviors within that state. The enhanced prediction framework also allows steady state transitions through catastrophic change and individual steady states could be used in an offline analysis with additional modeling efforts to better predict anticipated target reactions.

Citation Download Citation

Michael Gosnell and Robert Woodley "Enhancing emotional-based target prediction", Proc. SPIE 6965, Modeling and Simulation for Military Operations III, 696505 (11 April 2008); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.777465

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