BUDEM: an urban growth simulation model using CA for Beijing metropolitan area

Ying Long; Zhenjiang Shen; Liqun Du; Qizhi Mao; Zhanping Gao

doi:10.1117/12.812578

3 November 2008 BUDEM: an urban growth simulation model using CA for Beijing metropolitan area

Ying Long, Zhenjiang Shen, Liqun Du, Qizhi Mao, Zhanping Gao

Proceedings Volume 7143, Geoinformatics 2008 and Joint Conference on GIS and Built Environment: Geo-Simulation and Virtual GIS Environments; 71431D (2008) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.812578
Event: Geoinformatics 2008 and Joint Conference on GIS and Built Environment: Geo-Simulation and Virtual GIS Environments, 2008, Guangzhou, China

Abstract

It is in great need of identifying the future urban form of Beijing, which faces challenges of rapid growth in urban development projects implemented in Beijing. We develop Beijing Urban Developing Model (BUDEM in short) to support urban planning and corresponding policies evaluation. BUDEM is the spatio-temporal dynamic model for simulating urban growth in Beijing metropolitan area, using cellular automata (CA) and Multi-agent system (MAS) approaches. In this phase, the computer simulation using CA in Beijing metropolitan area is conducted, which attempts to provide a premise of urban activities including different kinds of urban development projects for industrial plants, shopping facilities, houses. In the paper, concept model of BUDEM is introduced, which is established basing on prevalent urban growth theories. The method integrating logistic regression and MonoLoop is used to retrieve weights in the transition rule by MCE. After model sensibility analysis, we apply BUDEM into three aspects of urban planning practices: (1) Identifying urban growth mechanism in various historical phases since 1986; (2) Identifying urban growth policies needed to implement desired urban form (BEIJING2020), namely planned urban form; (3) Simulating urban growth scenarios of 2049 (BEIJING2049) basing on the urban form and parameter set of BEIJING2020.

Citation Download Citation

Ying Long, Zhenjiang Shen, Liqun Du, Qizhi Mao, and Zhanping Gao "BUDEM: an urban growth simulation model using CA for Beijing metropolitan area", Proc. SPIE 7143, Geoinformatics 2008 and Joint Conference on GIS and Built Environment: Geo-Simulation and Virtual GIS Environments, 71431D (3 November 2008); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.812578

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