22 August 2014 MOSE: verification of Meso-NH forecasts of the atmospheric surface parameters at Cerro Paranal and Cerro Armazones using contingency tables
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Abstract
This study is done in the framework of the MOSE (MOdeling ESO Sites) project, and focused above the two ESO ground-bases sites of Cerro Paranal and Cerro Armazones. In a precedent study we have already treated the model performances obtained in reconstructing some key atmospherical parameters in the surface layer 0-30 m studying the bias and the RMSE of a statistical sample of 20 nights. These statistical operators provide fundamental information on statistical and systematic errors of the model but they are not exhaustive. In this paper, with the help of contingency tables, we investigate the ability of the Meso-NH model in reconstructing some specific atmospherical parameters near the surface (absolute temperature and wind speed) providing complementary key informations. For this we analyzed 20 nights for which observations were available at both sites, in 2007.
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Franck Lascaux, Franck Lascaux, Elena Masciadri, Elena Masciadri, Luca Fini, Luca Fini, } "MOSE: verification of Meso-NH forecasts of the atmospheric surface parameters at Cerro Paranal and Cerro Armazones using contingency tables", Proc. SPIE 9148, Adaptive Optics Systems IV, 914865 (22 August 2014); doi: 10.1117/12.2056363; https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2056363
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