Transit ridership prediction of Changchun light rail line 3

Jie Li; Xingyi Shi; Zhixia Jiang; Yongxing Li; Hongfei Jia

doi:10.1117/12.2205654

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3 December 2015 Transit ridership prediction of Changchun light rail line 3

Jie Li, Xingyi Shi, Zhixia Jiang, Yongxing Li, Hongfei Jia

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Proceedings Volume 9794, Sixth International Conference on Electronics and Information Engineering; 97942R (2015) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2205654
Event: Sixth International Conference on Electronics and Information Engineering, 2015, Dalian, China

Abstract

Urban rail transit ridership prediction has some guide meaning to urban rail transit planning and rail transit construction. In this paper, we use four-step method for rail transit ridership prediction. By considering Changchun GDP, land utilization rate, population and other factors, we use regression analysis method to predict trip generation, gravity model to predict trip distribution, logit model for model split and equilibrium model for traffic assignment. Finally, built the bus network model to obtain cross-sectional transit ridership of Changchun light rail line 3.

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Jie Li, Xingyi Shi, Zhixia Jiang, Yongxing Li, and Hongfei Jia "Transit ridership prediction of Changchun light rail line 3", Proc. SPIE 9794, Sixth International Conference on Electronics and Information Engineering, 97942R (3 December 2015); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2205654

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